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Stocks, dollar edge up ahead of Warsh debut; oil higher after recent losses

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Stocks, dollar edge up ahead of Warsh debut; oil higher after recent losses


By Caroline Valetkevitch and Danilo Masoni

NEW YORK/MILAN, June 17 (Reuters) – Major stock indexes and the U.S. dollar edged up on Wednesday ahead of Kevin Warsh’s debut as Federal Reserve chair, and oil ‌prices gained as doubts arose about the U.S.-Iran peace deal.

The Fed is expected to hold interest ‌rates steady at the end of the first meeting chaired by Warsh, with a new policy statement and economic projections likely to reflect ​growing concern about the inflation stoked by the Iran war even with the recent peace deal.

Committee members’ projections in March showed most expected to cut rates.

“This is Warsh’s first time as Fed chair and there’s a lot of anticipation on not what he will do today… but his communication,” said Adam Sarhan, CEO of 50 Park Investments in New ‌York.

U.S. President Donald Trump said his new ⁠ceasefire agreement with Iran was not final and he could resume the war if he is unsatisfied. Israel launched fresh airstrikes in Lebanon.

Oil prices rose after falling earlier this ⁠week. Lower prices had begun to ease worries about an economic slowdown especially in energy-importing Europe. The International Energy Agency said the oil market will move into a significant supply surplus in 2027 after recovering from the closure of the Strait ​of ​Hormuz.

U.S. crude rose 0.85% to $76.70 a barrel and Brent rose ​to $79.51 per barrel, up 0.7% on the day.

The ‌Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 202.89 points, or 0.39%, to 52,202.56, the S&P 500 rose 6.80 points, or 0.09%, to 7,518.15 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 17.05 points, or 0.07%, to 26,393.40.

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe rose 2.81 points, or 0.25%, to 1,131.11. The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.52%.

Shares of BMW fell after the German automaker slashed its 2026 outlook, citing a downturn in China and the impact of the U.S.-Israeli war on ‌Iran.

SpaceX shares were down for the first time since the ​stock’s market debut last Friday. The stock was last down 2.3%.

DOLLAR ​HOLDS FIRM

The anticipation of what Warsh will say ​held the dollar firmer.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies ‌including the yen and the euro, rose 0.14% ​to 99.69, with the euro ​down 0.14% at $1.1591.Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.16% to 160.19.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 0.75 basis point to 4.436%, from 4.428% late on Tuesday.

Cooling inflation expectations lifted euro zone government ​bonds for a fifth day, their longest ‌rally since February, driving 10-year German yields, the bloc’s benchmark, to their lowest since early April.

(Reporting ​by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York and Danilo Masoni in Milan; addtitional reporting by Tom Westbrook; ​Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus, Kirsten Donovan and Nia Williams)



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BitGo’s $50 million buyback sparks rally after shares lost 65% since IPO

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BitGo's $50 million buyback sparks rally after shares lost 65% since IPO

The decline is a reflection of a broader slump in investor sentiment toward digital asset-linked stocks. After a wave of crypto IPO enthusiasm last year, bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices have tumbled, and attention has increasingly turned toward artificial intelligence (AI) companies and a pipeline of highly anticipated tech listings like SpaceX (SPCX).

Several crypto companies, including Kraken and Consensys, have halted their efforts amid turbulent crypto markets.

BitGo provides custody, trading, staking and settlement services for digital assets. It also issues USD1, the U.S. dollar stablecoin tied to the Trump family-backed World Liberty Financial project.

The firm has also been promoting its Germany’s BaFin-regulated infrastructure platform as an option for companies adapting to the European Union’s digital asset regime, MiCA, ahead of a licensing deadline at the end of the month.



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Here’s how stocks performed under different Fed chairs — and how much influence Warsh really has

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Here’s how stocks performed under different Fed chairs — and how much influence Warsh really has

Published:

Every good story needs a main character.

This afternoon, Kevin Warsh is set to be that character as he holds his first press briefing as Federal Reserve chair. There are jitters about how stocks might react to anything he says about the path of interest rates, and whether he

will encourage less communication from the U.S. central bank in the future.



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Bitcoin – BTC’s $68mln long bet has this ONE problem

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Bitcoin - BTC’s $68mln long bet has this ONE problem


Since holding the $60k support a week ago, Bitcoin has shown some strength, with bullish pressure intensifying. The upside momentum pushed BTC to $67k before a slight pullback. 

At press time, BTC traded at $65,695, down 1.14% on the daily charts. Prior to this slip, the crypto had been on a strong upward trajectory, rising 7% on weekly charts. 

Despite the price slip, traders on the daily charts have remained bullish and strategically positioned for further gains. 

Bitcoin trader opens a $68 million long

With Bitcoin [BTC] showing relative strength, traders on the derivatives market have turned bullish. As a result, the market is seeing a significant surge in demand for long positions, especially from whales. 

Onchain Lens reported one such trader. A trader opened a 20x long position on 1036 BTC worth $68.1 million. 

So far, the trader is down $705k, as BTC retraced to $65k, having spent $12k on funding. Previously, as the market was dropping, the whale had realized over $4 million in profit shorting the market.

When high-net-worth traders flip longs, it signals rising confidence in the market. That traders currently expect the uptrend to continue.

Derivatives overly bullish

Interestingly, the whale mentioned above was not an isolated case. In fact, market participants have shown a greater appetite for leveraged positions.

According to CoinGlass data, traders deployed significant capital into the derivatives market. Over the past 24 hours, $9.17 billion flowed into Futures, adding to the $25.7 billion recorded over the past 3 days.

Bitcoin futures inflows
Source: CoinGlass

Capital flowing into the market suggests that traders used more money to open new positions. In that regard, it seems those positions were mostly longs.

CoinGlass data showed that the Long Short Ratio jumped to 1.007. The ratio remained above 1 across Binance and OKX, with the top traders’ ratio hitting 1.5.

Bitcoin long short ratioBitcoin long short ratio
Source: CoinGlass

A ratio above 1 suggested that most traders were bullish and opened longs, anticipating the uptrend to continue.

What’s next for BTC?

Historically, a high demand for leveraged positions has caused short-term price pumps. At the same time, the risk of liquidations has historically led to sharp price drops.

For now, Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery, although momentum remains weak. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI), while it bounced from oversold, the indicator still sits below 50 at 42.

Bitcoin RSIBitcoin RSI
Source: TradingView

At the current level, it suggests buyers have stepped in, but they have yet to fully retake the market. This implies bulls have an upper edge, but bears still remain.

To fully retake the market, bulls need a clear close above the long MA at $66,066 and flip $70k. Failure to do so will cause BTC to drop below the short MA at $65k, most likely to $63,500.


  • A Bitcoin trader opened a 20x long position on 1036 BTC worth $68.1 million amid rising leverage
  • Bitcoin [BTC] shows signs of recovery, but upside momentum remains relatively weak. 



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TAO news: A new Bittensor proposal would turn validators into something like fund managers

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TAO news: A new Bittensor proposal would turn validators into something like fund managers

Instead of selling everything, each validator would choose a set of subnets to support, much like picking holdings for a fund. The yield that would have been sold is reinvested into the chosen subnets, held as a basket that compounds over time, and staked back to the validator. Stakers still get their yield and can cash out to TAO whenever they want.

Such a mechanism stops the constant selling pressure and turns it into net buying that supports subnet prices.

Validators turn from passive yield pipes into active curators, since subnets they back attract fresh capital, while those they judge to be bad actors get starved of it.

The proposal is a code submission on Bittensor’s GitHub as of Wednesday, aimed at a test network rather than the main one.

Meanwhile, an early automated review flagged two serious issues, including an upgrade step that could choke on large amounts of data and a payout path that could shortchange stakers when a subnet shuts down. The author said in a GitHub response that those issues are fixed, with more cleanup listed before any mainnet release.

Bittensor’s token, TAO, has fallen 28% over the last 12 months, while bitcoin has fallen 38% over the same period. The token’s staking yield currently sits around 17% if users hold TAO for a year.



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What Makes American Express (AXP) an Attractive Investment Bet?

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What Makes American Express (AXP) an Attractive Investment Bet?


Sustainable Growth Advisers (SGA), an investment management company, released its first-quarter 2026 investor letter for its “Global Growth Strategy.” A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The SGA Global Growth Portfolio returned -13.6% (Gross) and -13.8% (Net) compared to the MSCI ACWI return of -3.2% and the MSCI ACWI Growth return of -7.7%. AI disruption narratives significantly affected markets in the first two months of the quarter, leading to declines in software, information services, payments, and insurance brokers. In March, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caused a spike in oil prices, contributing to market volatility and prompting investors to adopt a more cautious stance. The firm believes prioritizing high-quality businesses with strong balance sheets, durable cash flows, and diversified end markets provides resilience against short-term geopolitical shocks. In addition, you can check the Strategy’s top 5 holdings for its best picks for 2026.

In its first-quarter 2026 investor letter, SGA Global Growth Strategy highlighted American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) as a newly added position. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is a leading financial services company that operates as an integrated payments company. On June 16, 2026, American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) closed at $340.74 per share. One-month return of American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) was 9.98%, and its shares gained 14.95% over the past 52 weeks. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) has a market capitalization of $232.49 billion.

SGA Global Growth Strategy stated the following regarding American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) in its Q1 2026 investor letter:

“We initiated a new position in leading global payments and financial services company American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) during the quarter following a break in the stock price driven in part by market concerns around the potential impact of artificial intelligence on white collar employment and the downstream implications for credit card spending which we believe are overblown. We believe these fears created an attractive opportunity to invest in a high-quality, affluent customer base that supports attractive long-term growth. American Express’s differentiated customer base, characterized by higher average spend levels and lower credit risk, supports attractive pricing power with merchants and consumers. The company’s revenues are highly recurring, underpinned by long-standing customer relationships and billings retention in the high 90s, which has historically translated into low churn even during periods of economic stress. From a growth standpoint, American Express has gained market share in the U.S. as its merchant network has reached near parity with Visa and Mastercard and has improved engagement with younger demographics. Internationally, the company’s relatively underpenetrated merchant footprint provides a clear runway for continued billings growth, which has been the fastest-growing part of the business. While near-term concerns include potential pressure on consumer spending and subdued SME trends, credit metrics remain solid and normalized, and the company’s operating leverage should allow it to deliver mid-teen earnings growth over time, even if revenue growth moderates.”

Is American Express (AXP) One of the Best Value Dividend Stocks to Buy Now According to Warren Buffett?

American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is not on our list of 40 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds Heading Into 2026. According to our database, 83 hedge fund portfolios held American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) at the end of the first quarter, the same as in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you’re looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.

In another article, we covered American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) and shared the list of best value dividend stocks to buy according to Warren Buffett. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q1 2026 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors.

READ NEXT: 33 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and 15 Stocks That Will Make You Rich in 10 Years.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.



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CFO pay surged 8% last year—and long-term incentives account for 63% of the average package

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CFO pay surged 8% last year—and long-term incentives account for 63% of the average package

Good morning. CFO pay is rising but not in the way you might expect.

New data from Compensation Advisory Partners (CAP), exclusively shared with CFO Daily, examines 140 large companies with at least $5 billion in revenue and a median revenue of $15.6 billion. While CFOs continue to gain influence, their compensation remains closely tied to CEO pay. Notably, pay growth for the two roles is increasingly converging.

In 2025, total direct compensation (TDC) rose roughly 8% for CFOs and 9% for CEOs, the first time in several years that increases have nearly matched. The shift reflects strong corporate performance—median revenue and operating income rose 6% and 8%, respectively—and a heightened focus on executive retention.

“CEO and CFO pay does tend to move with performance,” Kelly Malafis, founding partner at CAP and co-author of the report, told me. “But our hypothesis is that we’re operating in an increasingly competitive environment where companies really want stability in leadership and that starts with the CEO.”

Long-term equity becomes the real retention tool

That focus is showing up most clearly in long-term incentives. LTI awards jumped 12% for CFOs and 9% for CEOs in 2025, nearly double last year’s increases, and now account for 63% and 73% of pay, respectively. Tied to future performance and vesting, they have become a central tool for alignment and retention.

While CAP’s dataset focuses on executives in role for at least two years, Malafis noted that long-term incentives also serve as a “lock-in” mechanism. That’s notable because CFO turnover continues.

“You have to be there, and you have to perform to realize that value,” she said. “It’s a tool companies can use to reinforce retention while maintaining alignment with shareholders.”

Base salaries remain a relatively small component of compensation. CFOs received a median increase of 3.7% in 2025 versus 2.1% for CEOs; notably, this was the first year in three that more than half of CEOs received raises.

Even so, CFO compensation remains about one-third of CEO pay, a ratio that has held steady for a decade despite the role’s expansion into enterprise transformation, data strategy, and AI.

There are exceptions. Looking at proxy statements, Tesla CFO Vaibhav Taneja, for example, logged roughly $139 million in total compensation for 2024—almost entirely in stock-based awards—making him one of the highest-paid finance chiefs on record. Alphabet and Google CFO Anat Ashkenazi and AMD’s Jean Hu have also landed packages in the tens of millions, driven by sign-on grants and performance-based equity tied to AI and chip-led growth plans.

But those cases remain outliers. For most companies, expanded CFO responsibilities have yet to meaningfully reshape compensation frameworks.

‘AI is still evolving in compensation plans’

While some companies are beginning to incorporate AI and digital transformation into incentive plans, it remains relatively rare, Malafis said, typically through strategic components of short-term bonus plans.

“It makes sense that AI is still evolving in compensation plans,” she said. “Companies first need to understand how it ties to their strategy and performance before embedding it in incentives.”

For now, the broader structure of executive pay remains intact: heavily performance-based, increasingly weighted toward long-term equity, and closely aligned between CEOs and CFOs when results are strong.

Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

Leaderboard

Fortune 500 Power Moves

Pascal Desroches, SVP and CFO at AT&T Inc. (No. 35), will retire effective Dec. 31. Desroches has served as CFO since 2021.

Jennifer Biry has been appointed deputy CFO, effective July 6. Biry will assume the role of SVP and CFO on Jan. 1, 2027. She most recently served as CFO and chief operating officer of McAfee and previously was EVP and CFO of WarnerMedia. Biry also spent more than 20 years at AT&T in financial leadership roles.

Every Friday morning, the weekly Fortune 500 Power Moves column tracks Fortune 500 company C-suite shifts—see the most recent edition.

More notable moves

Lucas Bravo was appointed CFO of Blaze Pizza, a fast-casual artisanal pizza brand. Bravo has financial leadership experience in both private-equity-backed and publicly traded organizations. Over the course of his career, he has worked at brands, including Burger King, Auntie Anne’s, Cinnabon, Moe’s Southwest Grill, and Jamba. Earlier in his career, Bravo worked at consulting firms Accenture and Booz Allen. 

Jim Stanley was appointed CFO of Congruex, a provider of digital infrastructure engineering and construction services. Before Congruex, Stanley was SVP at Frontier, and he played a key role in the company’s acquisition by Verizon. He spent 12 years at the Center for Diagnostic Imaging, serving in roles including CFO, and subsequently, chief operating officer.

Big Deal

The McKinsey HR Monitor 2026 finds that HR sits at a turning point as economic pressure, AI disruption, and shifting employee expectations collide, exposing structural gaps between what organizations need from their people function and what most HR teams deliver today.

Drawing on survey data from about 1,300 HR professionals and 5,500 employees across ten countries, the report shows that workforce planning is still largely operational, employee development remains fragmented. Many organizations are experimenting with AI in HR but have yet to achieve scaled impact. 

In response, McKinsey outlines five priority shifts for leaders: move from headcount planning to strategic capability planning, modernize talent acquisition, integrate learning and performance, take a more tailored and data-driven approach to employee experience, and redesign HR operating models using generative AI and shared services to boost both efficiency and strategic influence.

Going deeper

“Citi, Ford, and Experian share their strategies for scaling AI agents” is a Fortune article by Alexei Oreskovic.

Oreskovic writes: “In the automobile industry, where the average time to introduce a new vehicle from design to production can take years, Ford is using AI to speed up certain parts of the process and to ‘fail fast,’ said Sammy Omari, Executive Director, Advanced Driver Assist Systems and In-Vehicle Infotainment at Ford Motor Company.” Read more here

Overheard

“We believe the tech rally we saw to kick off the week is a sign of the times and investors can view the ‘SpaceX IPO driven tech sector sell-off fears’ as a rear-view mirror concern.”

—Wedbush Securities analysts wrote in an industry note on Tuesday.



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