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Gold, silver rally off ugly crash, but investors remain on edge

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Gold, silver rally off ugly crash, but investors remain on edge


If you fancy yourself a fan of gold or silver, you’re feeling a bit more cheerful about the metal than this spring.

Gold has been rising all month, up some 14% since July 31 to about $4,380 per troy ounce at the Aug. 21 close. Silver is up nearly 20% to $69.50 an ounce.

Related: After the bubble: Why UBS is still a gold-and-silver fan

Your cheer, however, has come after a lot of pain — more than six months, in fact.

Precious metals prices surged upward through 2025 until an abrupt halt at the end of January. Gold peaked at $5,586 an ounce. Silver topped out at $121.785 an ounce.

Both were seriously overbought levels.

The peak came because futures exchanges tightened the rules for trading, something they will do if they believe trading has gotten out of hand. The rule changes effectively meant the cash required to trade in the gold and silver markets went up substantially.

More important: On Jan. 29, President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to be the new chairman of the Federal Reserve Board.

Gold and silver traders saw immediately that an inflation hawk would be in charge of running the Central Bank and might be more serious about cutting down domestic inflation, says former JP Morgan economist Anthony Chan, and started to unload their positions.

But then came start of the war in the Middle East and, with the war, sharply higher oil prices and, of course, sharply higher gasoline and diesel prices.

By the end of June, gold had tumbled about 28.5%. Silver fell 58% from its $121.79 peak to its bottom in mid-July.

The war, which started on Feb. 28, caused oil prices and inflation to jump sharply. Warsh’s appointment — and Wall Street’s expectation the Fed would raise rates in 2026 — pulled interest rates higher, which was terrible for metals.

Gold being refined at a refinery in Switzerland. Stefan Wermuth / Bloomberg / Getty ImagesStefan Wermuth / Bloomberg / Getty Images

A break in the summer

But the tide turned in the late spring and early summer on three points:

  • Crude oil prices peaked in the late spring.

  • The war itself lapsed into what’s basically been a stalemate, despite continuing drone and missile attacks from the United States and Iran. (A note: When there is no shelling, oil and fuel prices fall.)

  • Warsh and the Fed have not yet raised interest rates.

The three combined to give gold and silver new life and gains for related exchange-traded funds. Since bottoming on July 15, the SPDR Gold Shares exchange-traded fund (GLD) has jumped 16%; the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is up 24%.

Citigroup analysts think gold could close above $5,000 this year and hit $6,000 in 2027.

A new catalyst came this month when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the United States was going to buy back long-dated Treasury bonds in a bid to knock down Treasury yields.

Partly the move is to deal with rates that had been rising since the Persian Gulf war erupted because bond investors understood that the war costs were going to prove far greater than anyone expected and impossible to predict.

Another reason is to bring the U.S. dollar more into balance with the Japanese yen. That currency has been sliding because its government deficits are larger than those in the United States: about 200% of gross domestic product.

And some decided they preferred hard assets like gold, silver and other metals instead of buying Treasury securities that could fall in value if interest rates continue to rise.

Bessent’s campaign worked for one day, but yields jumped back up on Aug. 20 and Aug. 21 as a number of analysts said the campaign wouldn’t work.

The 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.736% on Aug. 21, up nearly 13.5% on the year and nearly 20% since the war started on Feb. 28. The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.275% the same day, up nearly 9% in 2026 and up 14.3% since the war began.

More Gold & Silver:

The new Fed boss will have his say

The situation is fluid and confusing. And we haven’t talked about the Federal Reserve and Kevin Warsh.

Warsh has been adamant the Fed will deliver on a pledge to deliver price stability. But he has not offered many details because he’s also trying to refocus the Fed.

Investors are hoping for clarity on Friday when Warsh gives the keynote address at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium in Wyoming. The speech is scheduled for 10 a.m. ET.

Traders and money managers around the world will be listening carefully.

Are gold and silver right for investors?

You can invest in both if you think deficits in the United States and elsewhere are out of control and dangerous.

And the easiest way to do it is to buy the SPDR gold shares exchange-traded fund (GLD) or the iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV). They’re easy to buy and sell. And, if you think both are headed higher, enjoy the ride.

Since both buy gold and silver directly, your investment is subject to market forces as I noted above. It’s not an exaggeration to say the post-January slump was violent.

But keep this one fact in mind: The bottom for each was not close to lows in 2023 and 2024.

Related: HELOC rates are 7.31%. Why that’s actually good news

This story was originally published by TheStreet on Aug 23, 2026, where it first appeared in the Economy section. Add TheStreet as a Preferred Source by clicking here.



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XRP enabled for FedNow – With no official Fed confirmation, can the hype hold?

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XRP enabled for FedNow - With no official Fed confirmation, can the hype hold?


Ripple’s XRP is on the run to reach the same level as globally recognized payment systems such as SWIFT and also to compete with them.

With the help of Volante Technologies’ payment infrastructures, Ripple’s payment could, in the near future, serve major U.S. banks. 

Community interest rises

According to Whale Insider, XRP is enabled for FedNow Payments via Volante’s Ripple integration. Volante’s Ripple integration unlocked XRP for instant FedNow payments.

Volante Technologies is a payment infrastructure provider that plays the role of a universal adapter for financial institutions.

 In simple terms,  Volante serves as middleware for major U.S. banks. Thus, banks can use various networks such as FedNow, RTP, Fedwire, SWIFT, and now Ripple. With the connection, banks can now settle through XRP on the same rails the Fed uses for 24/7 real-time transfers.

However, it’s important to note that there’s no official Federal Reserve confirmation that positions XRP as one of the service providers for FedNow. 

Although FedNow and XRP both sit on Volante options for payment, it doesn’t mean they’re connected to each other directly. 

How did the market respond?

Since Volante enjoys a substantial market reach, it means XRP’s ability for growth is enormous. And the market responded positively to the growing speculation over the FedNow connection.

In the Spot market, for example, demand for XRP intensified. The netflow dropped to -$12.9 million, marking the third consecutive day.

XRP spot flow
Source: CoinGlass

This is a clear confirmation of the growing market optimism and speculation that FedNow links could spark another market rally. Thus, buyers have continued to buy, anticipating more gains. 

Moreover, XRP’s total transaction count climbed to a four-month high of 3.2 million. The rising transactions point to rising network activity, with more users entering the network amid the FedNow news.

XRP transaction countXRP transaction count
Source: CryptoQuant

If the growing community buzz grows into something substantial, it could positively impact XRP’s price action. The altcoin could finally flip $1.6 and target $2. 

For now, however, the issue of FedNow remains only a community talk, and for a true impact, it will need a direct confirmation from the Federal Reserve.


Final Summary

  • XRP enabled for FedNow Payments via Volante’s Ripple Integration, unlocking XRP for instant FedNow payments.
  • However, there is no official Federal Reserve confirmation that positions XRP as one of its service providers. 



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Alibaba launches $10 billion Hong Kong share placement to fund AI spending

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Alibaba launches $10 billion Hong Kong share placement to fund AI spending


Aug 23 (Reuters) – China’s Alibaba on Sunday launched a HK$80-billion ($10.2 billion) share placement to fund artificial intelligence-related development.

A deal by the Chinese e-commerce and cloud computing giant would mark the largest-ever primary ‌follow-on offering by a Hong Kong-listed company.

It would rank as the world’s third-largest primary follow-on share sale ‌this year after offerings from Alphabet and Intel.

The company said it intends to use 100% of the net proceeds from the placement to ​invest in its “full stack” AI capabilities, a category that includes chips, infrastructure and the development and deployment of AI models.

A term sheet reviewed by Reuters showed Alibaba planned to sell 710 million ordinary shares at HK$112.70 a share. That represented a 3.6% discount to its most recent closing price.

In its announcement for the $10.2 billion share placement, Alibaba did not reveal ‌additional details on its investment plans by ⁠category of its planned AI-related investment.

It did not comment beyond its regulatory disclosure.

Last week, Alibaba reported its results for the April-to-June quarter, saying it had already spent nearly half of ⁠its three-year capex investment plan. It said its expected payback on AI-related investments was on track to fall to 2.5 years from 3 years, driven by surging demand.

Alibaba’s net profit for the quarter fell 75% from a year earlier as it ​ramped up ​its AI-related capital expenditures.

“In order to be able to capture ​that future growth, we first need to make ‌these capex investments to build out the necessary compute capacity,” CEO Eddie Wu said on an earnings call.

The company’s share offering has been met with strong demand from investors, including sovereign wealth funds, two people familiar with the deal told Reuters. They could not be named because the information was not public.

Alibaba increased the size of the offering after the deal was oversubscribed, the people familiar with the matter said.

Morgan Stanley, HSBC, UBS and CICC are ‌serving as joint bookrunners of the Alibaba offering, said one of ​the sources and a third person with knowledge of the matter. The ​banks did not immediately respond to a Reuters ​request for comment.

The share placement was not registered under U.S. securities laws as an offshore ‌transaction, meaning American investors were not eligible to ​participate, Alibaba said.

Since 2022, the ​global AI boom has fuelled staggering capital outlays on infrastructure and data centers, including in the U.S. and China.

The four major U.S. hyperscalers – Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta – together are expected to spend roughly $725 billion ​in capital expenditures in 2026, much ‌of it tied to AI data centers, chips and cloud infrastructure.

($1 = 7.8396 Hong Kong dollars)

(Reporting by ​Kane Wu in Hong Kong and Casey Hall in Shanghai; additional reporting by Gnaneshwar Rajan in ​Bengaluru; Editing by William Mallard, Raju Gopalakrishnan and Thomas Derpinghaus)



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Luxury Tech Is Hard to Pitch. Here’s How to Win Investors.

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Luxury Tech Is Hard to Pitch. Here's How to Win Investors.


Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

Key Takeaways

  • Reframe your market size before they ask: Instead of going broad, define a tight, defensible wedge and then show the path to expand it.
  • Speak the investor’s language, not your customer’s: The words that make your members feel special are often the words that make investors nervous.
  • Use your waitlist as a proof point: In exclusive consumer platforms, demand signals carry unusual weight if you frame them correctly.
  • Build the relationships that make the raise inevitable: Build your investor network like you build your member network: through deliberate access, not broadcast outreach.

According to Silicon Valley Bank’s February 2026 State of the Markets report, U.S. VC fundraising dollars fell almost 20% year over year to their lowest level since 2019. For founders outside the AI boom, the odds are already stacked. Luxury and lifestyle tech founders face an additional layer: a category that’s harder to model, harder to benchmark and, frankly, harder for most investors to intuitively grasp.

When I was raising for InList, a members-only platform for booking curated nightlife and events, I heard a version of the same hesitation in room after room: “This seems great, but we don’t really invest in this space.”

That sentence is where the pitch actually begins. Here’s how to turn skeptical investors into convinced ones:

1. Reframe your market size before they ask

The first thing a consumer-skeptic investor looks at is total addressable market (TAM). If your pitch deck doesn’t answer the market-size question preemptively and credibly, you’ve already lost them. The instinct for many founders in experience-driven verticals is to go broad — “the global events industry is worth $2 trillion” — but that breadth actually signals weakness. Sophisticated investors know you can’t chase it all.

Instead, define a tight, defensible wedge and then show the path to expand it. When pitching InList, we didn’t lead with nightlife. We led with the behavior: high-net-worth individuals who pay a premium to skip friction and guarantee access. That behavior cuts across dining, travel, private events and beyond. The niche entry point was a feature, not a ceiling.

That same thinking also helped us broaden the conversation with investors by shifting the focus from the product to the customer. Our members were affluent consumers who travel frequently, spend on experiences and luxury goods and influence purchasing across categories, from hospitality and private aviation to watches, spirits and other premium brands. When investors understand the value of the customer you’re acquiring, not just the transaction you’re facilitating, they can more easily see the long-term opportunity.

Uber employed a similar approach in its earliest days. Rather than pitching itself as a taxi alternative, it framed the opportunity around a specific behavior: professionals in New York and San Francisco who wanted a black car at the push of a button. That tight wedge gave investors a believable entry point while signaling a much larger platform opportunity beyond it.

2. Speak the investor’s language, not your customer’s

The words that make your members feel special are often the words that make investors nervous. “Curated.” “Exclusive.” “Premium.” These land beautifully in consumer marketing; in a pitch room, they can sound like soft proxies for “small” and “hard to scale.” You have to translate.

When your product relies on high lifetime value and low churn rather than high volume and fast growth, say that explicitly and bring the numbers to prove it. For InList, instead of describing the vibe of the member experience, we anchored every qualitative claim to a data point: average booking value, repeat usage rates, referral-driven acquisition cost. Investors who don’t know the luxury market still know what great unit economics look like.

Rent the Runway navigated this same tension head-on. Jennifer Hyman has said that as a female founder pitching a fashion concept, she had to walk into investor meetings with what she called “15 spreadsheets,” while male founders got by with “a PowerPoint and a dream.” The luxury experience was the hook; the data was what closed the room.

3. Use your waitlist as a proof point

In exclusive consumer platforms, demand signals carry unusual weight if you frame them correctly. A 10,000-person waitlist is nearly meaningless as a raw number. The same waitlist becomes compelling when you can say, “These are verified high-net-worth individuals; they converted from a referral-only funnel, and 40% completed a detailed application to get on it.” Now you’ve turned a vanity metric into evidence of real, qualified demand.

During InList’s raise, the quality of our waitlist mattered more than its size. We could demonstrate that our prospective members matched the profile investors recognized from other luxury verticals: the kind of spender who doesn’t churn over price, who refers organically and who elevates the brand simply by belonging. Scarcity was a deliberate product decision, and we treated it like one.

This approach mirrors what Soho House did in its early expansion. The brand used its waitlists not as marketing theater, but as evidence of concentrated demand in specific cities — a city-by-city proof point that made each new location look like a pre-sold asset rather than a speculative bet.

4. Build the relationships that make the raise inevitable

Traditional venture capital isn’t always the right first call for luxury and lifestyle tech, and waiting for it can cost you momentum you can’t afford to lose. Before raising institutional capital for InList, my co-founder and I structured a creative development partnership to get the product built, which meant we arrived at investor conversations with a working app, real users and proof of concept rather than a deck and a dream.

When we did raise, the $3 million round came through relationships built inside the world InList served. My co-founder and I had deep roots in the Miami nightlife and events scene, exactly the ecosystem our product was designed for. That credibility opened doors that a cold pitch process never would have.

According to a survey published in Harvard Business Review, more than 30% of deals come from a VC’s former colleagues or work acquaintances, with another 20% coming from referrals by other investors. Only 10% result from cold email pitches. In a niche vertical such as luxury or lifestyle tech, that ratio almost certainly skews even further toward relationships. Build your investor network the same way you build your member network: through deliberate access, not broadcast outreach.

Raising capital for a luxury or lifestyle tech company is a different game — not a harder one, once you understand the rules. The investors are out there. They just need the right translator.

Key Takeaways

  • Reframe your market size before they ask: Instead of going broad, define a tight, defensible wedge and then show the path to expand it.
  • Speak the investor’s language, not your customer’s: The words that make your members feel special are often the words that make investors nervous.
  • Use your waitlist as a proof point: In exclusive consumer platforms, demand signals carry unusual weight if you frame them correctly.
  • Build the relationships that make the raise inevitable: Build your investor network like you build your member network: through deliberate access, not broadcast outreach.

According to Silicon Valley Bank’s February 2026 State of the Markets report, U.S. VC fundraising dollars fell almost 20% year over year to their lowest level since 2019. For founders outside the AI boom, the odds are already stacked. Luxury and lifestyle tech founders face an additional layer: a category that’s harder to model, harder to benchmark and, frankly, harder for most investors to intuitively grasp.

When I was raising for InList, a members-only platform for booking curated nightlife and events, I heard a version of the same hesitation in room after room: “This seems great, but we don’t really invest in this space.”

That sentence is where the pitch actually begins. Here’s how to turn skeptical investors into convinced ones:



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How Ethena’s $1.5M whale transfer could test ENA’s push to $0.25

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How Ethena’s $1.5M whale transfer could test ENA’s push to $0.25


Ethena’s [ENA] explosive breakout transformed its technical structure, while a $1.5 million whale deposit introduced concentrated Binance-side supply pressure. 

A whale deposited 9.776 million ENA, worth approximately $1.5 million, into Binance following the sharp price expansion. The transfer added to Binance’s supply as the tokens were available for immediate trading. For instance, the wallet had previously deposited 1.2 million USDT into Binance, providing some context regarding the exchange activity.

The latest Ethena transfer carried greater significance since the price had already climbed rapidly from its prolonged consolidation range. Hence, potential distribution emerged precisely as buyers attempted to establish control above previously restrictive levels. 

Persistent selling from the initial selling position may have put pressure on demand in the newly captured area. Yet, the transfer alone did not confirm immediate selling, leaving broader exchange flows crucial for assessing supply conditions.

Spot outflows offer buyers a counterweight

A strong counterbalance to the concentrated whale transfer into Binance was the increased spot activity. Ethena saw net outflows of around $802.19K on the 23rd of August, continuing a pattern of withdrawals. 

These withdrawals lowered the availability on the exchange side and thus diminished some of the potential selling pressure on the centralized trading platforms.

Importantly, the negative netflow contrasted with the whale’s Binance deposit, which provided an opposing supply signal. The whale transfer focused more tokens on one exchange, while the aggregate flows showed that more holders were taking ENA off the exchange. 

Source: CoinGlass

Ethena whale activity loses its previous advantage

As ENA continued to accelerate outside its trading range, the participation of the large holders significantly shifted. Whale versus Retail Delta had consistently been positive throughout the preceding period, frequently at levels around 0.30-0.45. At press time, however, the metric dropped sharply to -0.023, which was below the neutral mark.

Such a switch simply put retail activity on top of whale activity, which had been the case for months. But more significantly, the move came with the big Binance deposit, thus dampening the previous large-holder demand picture. 

Hence, retail involvement was more significant in maintaining buying momentum at higher ENA price levels. However, the down reading was relatively mild compared to previous positive peaks, reaching nearly 0.50. 

Continued weakness would increase vulnerability, particularly if exchange deposits expand alongside the reduced whale participation.

Source: CoinGlass

Can $0.14 anchor ENA’s breakout?

Following a long period of consolidation, Ethena rebounded from a key price level, and its structure has shifted dramatically as buyers broke ENA’s highs. 

Price had traded largely between $0.07 and $0.14 since February before finally clearing the upper resistance. The breakout pushed ENA up to $0.1707, bringing the token right under the $0.1774 resistance.

Notably, MACD strengthened aggressively during the breakout itself, rather than appearing quietly after price expansion. The MACD line hit 0.0150 as of writing, whereas the signal line was much lower at 0.0061. 

The histogram has widened to 0.0089, indicating the bulls have been accelerating strongly as the price moved up from $0.14. Therefore, a sustained push through the $0.1774 zone would likely extend ENA’s expansion toward the $0.25 resistance zone. 

However, the fading buying strength could leave the breakout vulnerable to retracement as whale participation weakens.

ENA price actionENA price action
Source: TradingView

Final Summary

  • ENA’s $802K spot outflow countered supply pressure from the $1.5 million whale deposit.
  • ENA’s $0.14 breakout remains strong, although whale participation has weakened sharply.

 



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Jim Cramer Advised Being Patient & Buying Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT)’s Shares

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Diageo (DEO) Vs Constellation (STZ): Hedge Funds Appear To Mirror Jim Cramer’s Sentiment


Retailers’ Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT) and Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT)’s shares are on two opposite spectrums when it comes to year-to-date performance. The latter’s stock is down by 8% whole the latter is up by 64%. Cramer discussed the divergence between the two stocks and outlined that while he believed Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT)’s share price troubles had led to as tock that was too cheap, he didn’t think the shares could drop further in terms of valuation:

“The one that I want to. . .I think Walmart is, I think you buy it and then you buy it after. Because we have not seen, Walmart does have a high PE, but I think it’s worthy of it.

“I know that John Furner’s unproven, as CEO. But I would say that Mr. McMillan, I love him and I think he’s taught him well. And you still have John David Rainey there. I just feel like this is the stock that has already come down. I don’t think it’s going to get to a 20 PE ever again, I think it’s got too much growth. But I recognize, it’s unloved, it’s only up 2.5%, everyone loves Target.  And I do like the new management of Target and the comparisons are very easy. But Target’s up 57%, 18 times earnings. . .”

Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT)’s shares haven’t had a good week. They closed a painful 9% lower on August 20th after it reported its earnings in the morning. Had viewers bought the shares on Cramer’s remarks, they would have missed an opportunity to utilize a major dip that occurred later in the week, as he had made the remarks on the 17th. The central theme for Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT), following the earnings, is whether the firm’s gains in the online segment will transform into sustainable gains for the income statement. Starting from the basics, the firm beat analyst revenue and earnings estimates for its fiscal Q2.

While revenue in Q2 grew by 5.9%, Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT)’s global eCommerce sales jumped by 23% to significantly outpace revenue growth. More importantly, the firm also claimed that 50% US marketplace volume was through its fulfilment services. Additionally, media reports have also suggested that Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT) has managed to grow its digital advertising business by 26% annually to further complement its online growth. Yet, at the same time, the firm’s status as a brick-and-mortar retailer generates worries about the impact of a consumer slowdown on the business. Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT)’s Q3 guidance for revenue growth and EPS undershot analyst estimates. Additionally, the firm also warned about $2 billion in incremental fuel costs in FY2027 and a dip in free cash flow.

As for Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT), while the debate still surrounds the consumer, it concerns itself with whether the firm’s strategic initiatives will translate into consumer spending growth. The shares closed 4.3% higher after the firm reported its Q2 earnings. During the quarter, Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) grew revenue by 5.3%, comparable sales grew by 2.7%, digital comparable sales grew by 8.7% and non-merchandise revenue jumped by 20% for all round growth. Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT)’s price cuts have translated into traffic growth. Yet, the impact of inflation is also undeniable.

Reports have suggested that inflation-weary consumers have also switched to low-price stores to create hurdles for the firm’s electronics and discretionary spending-driven businesses. As pointed out by Morningstar, Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT)’s Q3 EPS guide of $2.10 to $2.40 will depend on consumer spending and the tightening of full-year comparable store sales growth outlook to 0% to 2%, which touches the lower half of its indicates that management too is aware of consumer headwinds.

Yet, it’s WMT that’s leading on the valuation front with a forward P/E of 35.59, which is significantly higher than TGT’s 18.87. Short interest as a percentage of float is higher at 3.64% for TGT. As for the hedge funds, interest in WMT is higher at 99 funds holding a stake in Q1 compared to 68 for TGT.

While Insider Monkey acknowledges the risk and potential of WMT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than WMT that has 100x upside potential, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Jim Cramer Draws the Line on NVIDIA in China: Why National Security Comes First and Jim Cramer Defends His Dell Stance as Investors Complain About Missing Out.

Disclosure: None.



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David Einhorn Just Bet $61.5 Million on PayPal. Why PYPL Looks Cheap Again.

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David Einhorn Just Bet $61.5 Million on PayPal. Why PYPL Looks Cheap Again.


PayPal Holdings Inc HQ photo-by bennymarty via iStock

David Einhorn just placed a big bet on PayPal (PYPL). The legendary hedge fund manager added a new stake in PYPL stock during the second quarter, which quickly caught investors’ attention.

Einhorn is no ordinary investor. He’s known for spotting value where others see only problems. His firm, DME Capital Management, bought 1.42 million shares of PayPal during Q2 worth $61.5 million as of June 30. That’s a serious vote of confidence.

More News from Barchart

So, why does Einhorn like PayPal right now? The stock has been through the wringer, down more than 70% from its 2021 peak. But the company is executing a turnaround. Earnings are beating estimates, free cash flow is surging, and there’s even a potential buyout brewing.

Einhorn seems to think the market is missing something. Let’s dig into what that might be.

PYPL Stock Has Recovered, But Remains Far Below Its Peak

PayPal shares have had a difficult longer-term run. The stock remains roughly 79% below its 2021 peak, although the picture has improved more recently.

Shares are up about 5% year-to-date (YTD) in 2026, while the three-month gain is close to 39%. Over the past 12 months, however, PayPal remains down by roughly 9%.

The recent rebound followed the Q2 earnings report and improving expectations around the company’s turnaround. At the same time, competition from companies such as Stripe and Block (XYZ), along with concerns over growth and investment spending, have continued to weigh on sentiment.

www.barchart.com

The Valuation Makes Einhorn’s Move Interesting

PayPal stock trades at roughly 11.7 times earnings, which is below the financial services sector median of about 14 times. Its current multiple is also far below its five-year average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 30 times, while the P/E-to-growth ratio is around 1.5 times.

That does not necessarily mean PayPal is a bargain.

For Einhorn, the opportunity may not require PayPal to return to its previous valuation. Even a moderate re-rating could provide meaningful upside if earnings and cash flow continue improving.

PayPal’s Latest Quarter Gives Einhorn a Reason to Look Closer

PayPal reported Q2 revenue of $8.68 billion, up 5% year-over-year (YOY) and above analysts’ $8.51 billion estimate. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.38, topping the $1.28 consensus estimate by roughly 8%. While adjusted EPS declined 1% from the prior year, the earnings beat showed that the company continues to generate substantial profits despite a more competitive payments environment.



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